Saturday, Apr 12, 2025

Unbelievable Housing Market Trends: What are the Charts Saying?


Unbelievable Housing Market Trends: What are the Charts Saying?


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Today Jason has a fascinating conversation with Tobias Peter, a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute Housing Center. Jason discovers that the housing shortage could be worse. Plus, Tobias talks about the one solution to the country's shortage problem- the federal government's non-participation in the housing sector. Because all throughout history of the government's involvement, it has done so towards unintended negative consequences.

Key Takeaways:

Jason's editorial

1:23 Welcome Tobias Peter
2:04 "How to lie with statistics" - US existing home sales
4:55 Sales volume: US existing home sales
5:33 Same chart, different starting point
6:21 One million starting point
8:28 100% Zero down financing webinar replay is coming soon and join our Empowered Mentoring program

Tobias Peter interview Part 1

9:22 AEI Housing Market Indicators (HMI) and Purchase activity outlook given headwinds
10:19 YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA)
12:22 YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA) by Metro (60 largest)
14:40 Geography is less meaningful than it's ever been in human history
16:58 HPA: December 2023 and 2024 projections
18:39 The problem with the Case-Schiller Index
20:44 Housing inventory and month's supply- we are far from a housing crash
23:25 A positive sign- from California
26:13 The infamous Coastal Commission in California
28:30 A quarter century of mortgage risk
29:13 FHA loans- setting minorities up for failure
31:23 We have a better alternative

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